never odd or even

If an insurrection should break out in the Philippines now, it would end in tragedy because of the very fact that they are an archipelago would alone make it improbable for any rising without a navy to have a chance of success. What is more, the rebels would not have ammunition for more than five weeks. Add to that the fact there is still a great number of partisans of the friars among the Filipinos.

A revolution would only lead the educated classes to death and would increase the burden of tyranny. A revolution has no probabilities of success unless:

(1) a part of the army and navy should rebel;
(2) the metropolis should be at war with another country;
(3) there were money and munitions at hand; and
(4) some foreign country were to lend its official or secret support to the insurrection.

None of these conditions are to be found in the Philippines.